Dear Reader,

Welcome to issue 5!
This week I want to look at how you can avoid being ripped off and learn how to really make money from betting. I've also looked at the match of the weekend - Aston Villa v Chelsea, with an in depth preview along with other betting advice.

Countless betting system sellers and tipsters fill my inbox each week and in general, I don’t mind, even though I’ve never given most of them permission to email me and that I know at least 90% of them are completely worthless, it helps me understand what’s going on in the market.
I generally try and fish the “good uns” out of the mess. But I have been particularly aggravated by one system seller that has hit my inbox so many times this week, each time making more and more ridiculous claims, the Bullsh!t generator must have been working in overdrive on this one.
It’s not so much that I’m bothered by having to waste my time reading and deleting this rubbish.
It bothers me more that I know that some poor individuals are going to surrender money to this guy and he’s going take them for a ride. Now I’m not going to go down the road of naming and shaming, that’s not my business, but I will point you in the direction of a true authority on the subject of betting systems and tipsters that WILL save you many hundreds of pounds.
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To put it simply if you are at all interested in making money from betting, either on a small or large scale as a professional gambler, you would greatly benefit from joining.
£69 may sound a lot of money for information without any actual tips, but it would take several years and hundreds of hours of research to uncover the information you’ll receive, so unless you value your time at zero, it’ll pay to join.
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Or go straight to the signup page here.

Best Odds Villa 12/5, Draw 12/5, Chelsea 11/8

For Villa fans this match is shaping up to be the most important match for many seasons. Everton last weekend in the FA Cup and CSKA Moscow in the Uefa cup Wednesday were big matches for Villa, but nothing compared to this. To finish in the top four would be an amazing achievement for Villa this season, and to be above Chelsea and sitting in 3rd place in the table is incredible.
A victory here for Villa would see them in a comfortable 3rd place and they would have to be considered contenders for the title, albeit with faint hope of catching Man Utd.
A defeat would see them concede 3rd place to Chelsea and have them looking over their shoulder at Arsenal and Everton. It is a pivotal point in the season and indeed in Martin O Neill’s term so far as manager. As far as recent form goes Villa boast only have Man Utd above them in the 6 match form table with 16 pts from a possible 18. Chelsea have half that with 9 pts.
Villa’s defeat against Everton in the FA Cup was not a good performance from Villa but Everton are in terrific form, against CSKA Moscow in midweek Villa showed good spirit against a very classy side in the 1-1 draw. Villa will probably be welcoming back James Milner in to the team and possibly Emile Heskey who would replace John Carew who still doesn’t look match sharp after a long absence.
For Chelsea the arrival of Gus Hiddink could bring about improvement, but then dealing with the international mish-mash of talent certainly appears to be hard job, and one that Big Phil couldn’t get to grips with. The arrival of a new manager certainly always seems to have a big and sometimes immediate impact on a teams performance, but I think this could be negated somewhat by the fact that Chelsea have never been playing poorly in any case, and tinkering further might not bring much improvement. The head to head shows that Villa have been a real bogey team for Chelsea over the last few seasons and with Villa being an improved outfit this season I wouldn’t want to be steaming into Chelsea at 11/8 even if Mourinho had taken the job again.
You have to go back almost 10 years to find the last time Chelsea won at Villa Park in the league which is also something Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester Utd failed to do this season – all three were held to draws. Chelsea do have a great overall record on the road this season, they won their first 8, but have since then been held to draws at Everton and Fulham before losing to Liverpool and Man Utd. Over the last 4 seasons this fixture has been drawn 3 times only broken up by the 2-0 Aston Villa victory last season. The statistics and the form do not agree with the market and I think the value call has to be the draw, with a saver on the Villa win. A draw would probably sit well with both managers. Stakes should be kept small though as the new manager effect really is an unknown.

2% stake on the Draw @ 12/5 Boylesports . 1% stake Villa win @ 12/5 Bluesq or 3.6 Betfair.

I don’t like piling in to short prices in high profile games but I think I’m going to make and exception this weekend. Arsenal will have to start winning if they want to play in Europe next season, if they don’t then Everton could even take 5th from them. I don’t think that’ll happen and it is likely that they’ll start pegging back Villa and Chelsea this weekend with those two playing each other and Arsenal playing Sunderland at home. Scoring goals has been the only issue (albeit a big one!) recently but the return of Eduardo must be big boost for everyone at the club after his horrific injury last season, and although he looks to be sidelined for the Sunderland clash Russian danger man Andrey Arshavin is set to make his debut. For Manchester Utd it is not a case of “when will they drop points?” But “when will they concede a goal?!”. With new records being made and the team absolutely flying they are impossible to oppose.

4% double Man Utd 1/4 and Arsenal 4/9 with VCBet pays 1.80.

Not much space or time for much more this week so I’ll keep this brief. My each way service hasn’t had a great week, hitting the bar without scoring and it could be that February will be the first losing month of the year. Still there is over a week to go and with the improved weather hopefully a few more bets. I know the dice are loaded in our favour with my each way bets but that doesn’t always guarantee we can roll a six!
Last week’s newsletter tip, Hull +0.25 in the FA Cup, won to half stakes as the match was drawn.

Kind Regards

Paul Ruffy - Betting Profits Bulletin,
Bettingebooks.com & WinningRacingTips.co.uk
https://twitter.com/PaulRuffy